Investment Vs Speculation

Investment

Investment refers to the acquisition of the asset, in the expectation of generating income. In a wider sense, it refers to the sacrifice of present money or other resources for the benefits that will arise in future. The two main element of investment is time and risk

Nowadays, there is a range of investment options available in the market as you can deposit money in the bank account, or you can acquire property, or purchase shares of the company, or invest your money in government bonds or contribute in the funds like EPF or PPF.

Investments are majorly divided into two categories i.e. fixed income investment and variable income investment. In fixed income investment there is a pre-specified rate of return like bonds, preference shares, provident fund and fixed deposits while in variable income investment, the return is not fixed like equity shares or property.

Speculation

Speculation is a trading activity that involves engaging in a risky financial transaction, in expectation of making enormous profits, from fluctuations in the market value of financial assets. In speculation, there is a high risk of losing maximum or all initial outlay, but it is offset by the probability of significant profit. Although, the risk is taken by speculators is properly analysed and calculated.

Speculation ca be seen in markets where the high fluctuations in the price of securities such as the market for stocks, bonds, derivatives, currency, commodity futures, etc.

An Investment is an asset acquired with the intent of generating income or appreciation in the future, whereas Speculation is a financial transaction that has a substantial risk of losing all value, but with the expectation of a significant gain.

Investors and traders take on calculated risk as they attempt to profit from transactions they make in the markets. The level of risk undertaken in the transactions is the main difference between investing and speculating.

Whenever a person spends money with the expectation that the endeavor will return a profit, they are investing. In this scenario, the undertaking bases the decision on a reasonable judgment made after a thorough investigation of the soundness that the endeavor has a good probability of success.

But what if the same person spends money on an undertaking that shows a high probability of failure? In this case, they are speculating. The success or failure depends primarily on chance, or on uncontrollable (external) forces or events.

The primary difference between investing and speculating is the amount of risk undertaken. High-risk speculation is typically akin to gambling, whereas lower-risk investing uses a basis of fundamentals and analysis.

As per Benjamin Graham, an American economist, and professional investor, investment is an activity, which upon complete analysis assures the safety of the amount invested and adequate return. Conversely, speculation is an activity which does not satisfy these requirements.

The basic distinguishing point amidst these two is that income in the investment is consistent, but in the case of speculation is inconsistent. So this article makes an attempt to clear the differences between investment and speculation.

Investment vs Speculation: They can be compared on the basis of 4 major criteria’s they are:

  • Time Horizon
  • Risk Levels
  • Decision Criteria
  • Investors Attitude
  1. Time Horizon

Investment are generally held for a long term this may range from 2-5 years or more than that whereas speculation is held for a very short time span this is basically less than a year.

  1. Risk Levels

The amount of risk is relatively moderate in investment when compared with speculation. Speculation generally involves greater risk than investing like options, futures, financial derivatives and similar financial instruments. Speculators ofter tent to be looking for a larger and quicker payout than long-term investors. Both involve risk but as the things move fast in speculations it is riskier than investing.

  1. Decision Criteria

Investors tend to have a more basic fundamental approach whereas speculators, on the other hand, focus more on trends, market or investors psychology, they usually focus on these factors for a booking a quick profit.

  1. Investors Attitude

Investors mostly have cautious and conservative considering their risk appetite, they know their capability and invest as per the risk that they can absorb, in case of speculator they are more aggressive with a high-risk appetite.

Differences

  1. Investment refers to the purchase of an asset with the hope of getting returns. The term speculation denotes an act of conducting a risky financial transaction, in the hope of substantial profit.
  2. In investment, the decisions are taken on the basis of fundamental analysis, i.e. performance of the company. On the other hand, in speculation decisions are based on hearsay, technical charts, and market psychology.
  3. The quantity of risk is moderate in investment and high in case of speculation.
  4. Investments are held for at least one year. Hence, it has a longer time horizon than speculation, where speculators hold assets for short term only.
  5. The investors, expect profit from the change in the value of the asset. As opposed to speculators who expect profit from the change in the prices, due to demand and supply forces.
  6. An investor expects the modest rate of return on the investment. On the contrary, a speculator expects higher profits from the speculation in exchange for the risk borne by him.
  7. The investor uses his own funds for investment purposes. Conversely, speculator uses borrowed capital for speculation.
  8. In speculation, the stability of income is absent it is uncertain and erratic which is not in the case of investment.
  9. The psychological attitude of investors is conservative and cautious. In contrast, speculators are daring and careless.

Objectives of Investment Management

An investment is essentially an asset that is created with the intention of allowing money to grow. The wealth created can be used for a variety of objectives such as meeting shortages in income, saving up for retirement, or fulfilling certain specific obligations such as repayment of loans, payment of tuition fees, or purchase of other assets.

Investment may generate income for you in two ways. One, if you invest in a saleable asset, you may earn income by way of profit. Second, if Investment is made in a return generating plan, then you will earn an income via accumulation of gains. In this sense, ‘what is investment’ can be understood by saying that investments are all about putting your savings into assets or objects that become worth more than their initial worth or those that will help produce an income with time.

Objectives of Investment

Before you decide to invest your earnings in any one of the many investment plans available in India, it’s essential to understand the reasons behind investing. While the individual objectives of investment may vary from one investor to another, the overall goals of investing money may be any one of the following reasons.

  1. To Meet your Financial Goals

Investing can also help you achieve your short-term and long-term financial goals without too much stress or trouble. Some investment options, for instance, come with short lock-in periods and high liquidity. These investments are ideal instruments to park your funds in if you wish to save up for short-term targets like funding home improvements or creating an emergency fund. Other investment options that come with a longer lock-in period are perfect for saving up for long-term goals.

  1. To Help Money Grow

Another common objective of investing money is to ensure that it grows into a sizable corpus over time. Capital appreciation is generally a long-term goal that helps people secure their financial future. To make the money you earn grow into wealth, you need to consider investment options that offer a significant return on the initial amount invested. Some of the best investments to achieve growth include real estate, mutual funds, commodities, and equity. The risk associated with these options may be high, but the return is also generally significant.

  1. To Minimize the Burden of Tax

Aside from capital growth or preservation, investors also have another compelling incentive to consider certain investments. This motivation comes in the form of tax benefits offered by the Income Tax Act, 1961. Investing in options such as Unit Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs), Public Provident Fund (PPF), and Equity Linked Savings Schemes (ELSS) can be deducted from your total income. This has the effect of reducing your taxable income, thereby bringing down your tax liability.

  1. To Keep Money Safe

Capital preservation is one of the primary reasons people invest their money. Some investments help keep hard-earned money safe from being eroded with time. By parking your funds in these instruments or schemes, you can ensure that you don’t outlive your savings. Fixed deposits, government bonds, and even an ordinary savings account can help keep your money safe. Although the return on investment may be lower here, the objective of capital preservation is easily met.

  1. To Earn a Steady Stream of Income

Investments can also help you earn a steady source of secondary (or primary) income. Examples of such investments include fixed deposits that pay out regular interest or stocks of companies that pay investors dividends consistently. Income-generating investments can help you pay for your everyday expenses after you’ve retired. Alternatively, they can also act as excellent sources of supplementary income during your working years by providing you with additional money to meet outlays like college expenses or EMIs.

  1. To Save up for Retirement

Saving up for retirement is a necessity. It’s essential to have a retirement fund you can fall back on in your golden years, because you may not be able to continue working forever. Additionally, it would be unfair to depend on your children to support you later in life, particularly if they have children of their own to raise. By investing the money you earn during your working years in the right investment options, you can allow your funds to grow enough to sustain you after you’ve retired.

Investment Management

The word “investment” can be defined in many ways according to different theories and principles. It is a term that can be used in a number of contexts. However, the different meanings of “investment” are more alike than dissimilar. Generally, investment is the application of money for earning more money. Investment also means savings or savings made through delayed consumption. According to economics, investment is the utilization of resources in order to increase income or production output in the future.

An amount deposited into a bank or machinery that is purchased in anticipation of earning income in the long run is both examples of investments. Although there is a general broad definition to the term investment, it carries slightly different meanings to different industrial sectors.

According to economists, investment refers to any physical or tangible asset, for example, a building or machinery and equipment. On the other hand, finance professionals define an investment as money utilized for buying financial assets, for example stocks, bonds, bullion, real properties, and precious items.

According to finance, the practice of investment refers to the buying of a financial product or any valued item with anticipation that positive returns will be received in the future. The most important feature of financial investments is that they carry high market liquidity. The method used for evaluating the value of a financial investment is known as valuation. According to business theories, investment is that activity in which a manufacturer buys a physical asset, for example, stock or production equipment, in expectation that this will help the business to prosper in the long run.

Types of investments

Investments may be classified as financial investments or economic investments. In Finance investment is putting money into something with the expectation of gain that upon thorough analysis has a high degree of security for the principal amount, as well as security of return, within an expected period of time. In contrast putting money into something with an expectation of gain without thorough analysis, without security of principal, and without security of return is speculation or gambling. Investment is related to saving or deferring consumption. Investment is involved in many areas of the economy, such as business management and finance whether for households, firms, or governments.

Economic investments are undertaken with an expectation of increasing the current economy’s capital stock that consists of goods and services. Capital stock is used in the production of other goods and services desired by the society. Investment in this sense implies the expectation of formation of new and productive capital in the form of new constructions, plant and machinery, inventories, and so on. Such investments generate physical assets and also industrial activity. These activities are undertaken by corporate entities that participate in the capital market.

Financial investments and economic investments are, however, related and dependent. The money invested in financial investments is ultimately converted into physical assets. Thus, all investments result in the acquisition of some asset, either financial or physical. In this sense, markets are also closely related to each other. Hence, the perfect financial market should reflect the progress pattern of the real market since, in reality, financial markets exist only as a support to the real market.

Nature of investment

The features of economic and financial investments can be summarized as return, risk, safety, and liquidity.

Return

All investments are characterized by the expectation of a return. In fact, investments are made with the primary objective of deriving a return.

The return may be received in the form of yield plus capital appreciation.

The difference between the sale price and the purchase price is capital appreciation.

The dividend or interest received from the investment is theyield.

The return from an investment depends upon the nature of the investment, the maturity period and a host of other factors.

Return = Capital Gain + Yield (interest, dividend etc.)

  1. Risk

Risk refers to the loss of principal amount of an investment. It is one of the major characteristics of an investment.

The risk depends on the following factors:

The investment maturity period is longer; in this case, investor will take larger risk.

Government or Semi Government bodies are issuing securities which have less risk.

In the case of the debt instrument or fixed deposit, the risk of above investment is less due to their secured and fixed interest payable on them. For instance debentures.

In the case of ownership instrument like equity or preference shares, the risk is more due to their unsecured nature and variability of their return and ownership character.

The risk of degree of variability of returns is more in the case of ownership capital compare to debt capital.

The tax provisions would influence the return of risk.

  1. Safety:

Safety refers to the protection of investor principal amount and expected rate of return.

Safety is also one of the essential and crucial elements of investment. Investor prefers safety about his capital. Capital is the certainty of return without loss of money or it will take time to retain it. If investor prefers less risk securities, he chooses Government bonds. In the case, investor prefers high rate of return investor will choose private Securities and Safety of these securities is low.

  1. Liquidity:

Liquidity refers to an investment ready to convert into cash position. In other words, it is available immediately in cash form. Liquidity means that investment is easily realizable, saleable or marketable. When the liquidity is high, then the return may be low. For example, UTI units. An investor generally prefers liquidity for his investments, safety of funds through a minimum risk and maximization of return from an investment.

 Four main investment objectives cover how you accomplish most financial goals. These investment objectives are important because certain products and strategies work for one objective, but may produce poor results for another objective. It is quite likely you will use several of these investment objectives simultaneously to accomplish different objectives without any conflict. Let’s examine these objectives and see how they differ.

Capital Appreciation

Capital appreciation is concerned with long-term growth. This strategy is most familiar in retirement plans where investments work for many years inside a qualified plan. However, investing for capital appreciation is not limited to qualified retirement accounts. If this is your objective, you are planning to hold the stocks for many years. You are content to let them grow within your portfolio, reinvesting dividends to purchase more shares. A typical strategy employs making regular purchases. You are not very concerned with day-to-day fluctuations, but keep a close eye on the fundamentals of the company for changes that could affect long-term growth.

Current Income

If your objective is current income, you are most likely interested in stocks that pay a consistent and high dividend. You may also include some top-quality real estate investment trusts (REITs) and highly-rated bonds. All of these products produce current income on a regular basis. Many people who pursue a strategy of current income are retired and use the income for living expenses. Other people take advantage of a lump sum of capital to create an income stream that never touches the principal, yet provides cash for certain current needs (college, for example).

Capital Preservation

Capital preservation is a strategy you often associate with elderly people who want to make sure they don’t outlive their money. Retired on nearly retired people often use this strategy to hold on the detention has. For this investor, safety is extremely important even to the extent of giving up return for security. The logic for this safety is clear. If they lose their money through foolish investment and are retired, it is unlike they will get a chance to replace it. Investors who use capital preservation tend to invest in bank CDs, U.S. Treasury issues and savings accounts.

Speculation

The speculator is not a true investor, but a trader who enjoys jumping into and out of stocks as if they were bad shoes. Speculators or traders are interested in quick profits and used advanced trading techniques like shorting stocks, trading on the margin, options and other special equipment. They have no love for the companies they trade and, in fact may not know much about them at all other than the stock is volatile and ripe for a quick profit. Speculators keep their eyes open for a quick profit situation and hope to trade in and out without much thought about the underlying companies. Many people try speculating in the stock market with the misguided goal of getting rich. It doesn’t work that way. If you want to try your hand, make sure you are using money you can afford to lose. It’s easy to get addicted, so make sure you understand the real possibilities of losing your investment.

The secondary objectives are tax minimization and Marketability or liquidity.

Tax Minimization:

An investor may pursue certain investments in order to adopt tax minimization as part of his or her investment strategy. A highly-paid executive, for example, may want to seek investments with favorable tax treatment in order to lessen his or her overall income tax burden. Making contributions to an IRA or other tax-sheltered retirement plan can be an effective tax minimization strategy.

Marketability/Liquidity:

Many of the investments we have discussed are reasonably illiquid, which means they cannot be immediately sold and easily converted into cash. Achieving a degree of liquidity, however, requires the sacrifice of a certain level of income or potential for capital gains.

Common stock is often considered the most liquid of investments, since it can usually be sold within a day or two of the decision to sell. Bonds can also be fairly marketable, but some bonds are highly illiquid, or non-tradable, possessing a fixed term. Similarly, money market instruments may only be redeemable at the precise date at which the fixed term ends. If an investor seeks liquidity, money market assets and non-tradable bonds aren’t likely to be held in his or her portfolio.

F-Test

An F-test is any statistical test in which the test statistic has an F-distribution under the null hypothesis. It is most often used when comparing statistical models that have been fitted to a data set, in order to identify the model that best fits the population from which the data were sampled. Exact “F-tests” mainly arise when the models have been fitted to the data using least squares. The name was coined by George W. Snedecor, in honour of Sir Ronald A. Fisher. Fisher initially developed the statistic as the variance ratio in the 1920s.

Formula and calculation

Most F-tests arise by considering a decomposition of the variability in a collection of data in terms of sums of squares. The test statistic in an F-test is the ratio of two scaled sums of squares reflecting different sources of variability. These sums of squares are constructed so that the statistic tends to be greater when the null hypothesis is not true. In order for the statistic to follow the F-distribution under the null hypothesis, the sums of squares should be statistically independent, and each should follow a scaled χ²-distribution. The latter condition is guaranteed if the data values are independent and normally distributed with a common variance.

Common examples of the use of F-tests include the study of the following cases:

  • The hypothesis that the means of a given set of normally distributed populations, all having the same standard deviation, are equal. This is perhaps the best-known F-test, and plays an important role in the analysis of variance (ANOVA).
  • The hypothesis that a proposed regression model fits the data well. See Lack-of-fit sum of squares.
  • The hypothesis that a data set in a regression analysis follows the simpler of two proposed linear models that are nested within each other.

Assumptions

Several assumptions are made for the test. Your population must be approximately normally distributed (i.e. fit the shape of a bell curve) in order to use the test. Plus, the samples must be independent events. In addition, you’ll want to bear in mind a few important points:

  • The larger variance should always go in the numerator (the top number) to force the test into a right-tailed test. Right-tailed tests are easier to calculate.
  • For two-tailed tests, divide alpha by 2 before finding the right critical value.
  • If you are given standard deviations, they must be squared to get the variances.
  • If your degrees of freedom aren’t listed in the F Table, use the larger critical value. This helps to avoid the possibility of Type I errors.

F Test to Compare Two Variances

A Statistical F Test uses an F Statistic to compare two variances, s1 and s2, by dividing them. The result is always a positive number (because variances are always positive). The equation for comparing two variances with the f-test is:

F = S^2 1 / s^2 2

If the variances are equal, the ratio of the variances will equal 1. For example, if you had two data sets with a sample 1 (variance of 10) and a sample 2 (variance of 10), the ratio would be 10/10 = 1.

Chi Square Test

A chi-squared test, also written as χ2 test, is a statistical hypothesis test that is valid to perform when the test statistic is chi-squared distributed under the null hypothesis, specifically Pearson’s chi-squared test and variants thereof. Pearson’s chi-squared test is used to determine whether there is a statistically significant difference between the expected frequencies and the observed frequencies in one or more categories of a contingency table.

In the standard applications of this test, the observations are classified into mutually exclusive classes. If the null hypothesis that there are no differences between the classes in the population is true, the test statistic computed from the observations follows a χ2 frequency distribution. The purpose of the test is to evaluate how likely the observed frequencies would be assuming the null hypothesis is true.

Test statistics that follow a χ2 distribution occur when the observations are independent and normally distributed, which are assumptions often justified under the central limit theorem. There are also χ2 tests for testing the null hypothesis of independence of a pair of random variables based on observations of the pairs.

Chi-squared tests often refers to tests for which the distribution of the test statistic approaches the χ2 distribution asymptotically, meaning that the sampling distribution (if the null hypothesis is true) of the test statistic approximates a chi-squared distribution more and more closely as sample sizes increase.

There are two types of chi-square tests. Both use the chi-square statistic and distribution for different purposes:

  • A chi-square goodness of fit test determines if sample data matches a population. For more details on this type, see: Goodness of Fit Test.
  • A chi-square test for independence compares two variables in a contingency table to see if they are related. In a more general sense, it tests to see whether distributions of categorical variables differ from each another.
  • A very small chi square test statistic means that your observed data fits your expected data extremely well. In other words, there is a relationship.
  • A very large chi square test statistic means that the data does not fit very well. In other words, there isn’t a relationship.

The formula for the chi-square statistic used in the chi square test is:

Fig:

The subscript “c” is the degrees of freedom. “O” is your observed value and E is your expected value. It’s very rare that you’ll want to actually use this formula to find a critical chi-square value by hand. The summation symbol means that you’ll have to perform a calculation for every single data item in your data set. As you can probably imagine, the calculations can get very, very, lengthy and tedious. Instead, you’ll probably want to use technology:

T-Test

Essentially, a t-test allows us to compare the average values of the two data sets and determine if they came from the same population. In the above examples, if we were to take a sample of students from class A and another sample of students from class B, we would not expect them to have exactly the same mean and standard deviation. Similarly, samples taken from the placebo-fed control group and those taken from the drug prescribed group should have a slightly different mean and standard deviation.

A t-test is a type of inferential statistic used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups, which may be related in certain features. It is mostly used when the data sets, like the data set recorded as the outcome from flipping a coin 100 times, would follow a normal distribution and may have unknown variances. A t-test is used as a hypothesis testing tool, which allows testing of an assumption applicable to a population.

A t-test looks at the t-statistic, the t-distribution values, and the degrees of freedom to determine the statistical significance. To conduct a test with three or more means, one must use an analysis of variance.

Mathematically, the t-test takes a sample from each of the two sets and establishes the problem statement by assuming a null hypothesis that the two means are equal. Based on the applicable formulas, certain values are calculated and compared against the standard values, and the assumed null hypothesis is accepted or rejected accordingly.

If the null hypothesis qualifies to be rejected, it indicates that data readings are strong and are probably not due to chance. The t-test is just one of many tests used for this purpose. Statisticians must additionally use tests other than the t-test to examine more variables and tests with larger sample sizes. For a large sample size, statisticians use a z-test. Other testing options include the chi-square test and the f-test.

T-Test Assumptions

  • The first assumption made regarding t-tests concerns the scale of measurement. The assumption for a t-test is that the scale of measurement applied to the data collected follows a continuous or ordinal scale, such as the scores for an IQ test.
  • The second assumption made is that of a simple random sample, that the data is collected from a representative, randomly selected portion of the total population.
  • The third assumption is the data, when plotted, results in a normal distribution, bell-shaped distribution curve.
  • The final assumption is the homogeneity of variance. Homogeneous, or equal, variance exists when the standard deviations of samples are approximately equal.

Calculating T-Tests

Calculating a t-test requires three key data values. They include the difference between the mean values from each data set (called the mean difference), the standard deviation of each group, and the number of data values of each group.

The outcome of the t-test produces the t-value. This calculated t-value is then compared against a value obtained from a critical value table (called the T-Distribution Table). This comparison helps to determine the effect of chance alone on the difference, and whether the difference is outside that chance range. The t-test questions whether the difference between the groups represents a true difference in the study or if it is possibly a meaningless random difference.

T-Distribution Tables

The T-Distribution Table is available in one-tail and two-tails formats. The former is used for assessing cases which have a fixed value or range with a clear direction (positive or negative). For instance, what is the probability of output value remaining below -3, or getting more than seven when rolling a pair of dice? The latter is used for range bound analysis, such as asking if the coordinates fall between -2 and +2.

The t-test produces two values as its output: t-value and degrees of freedom. The t-value is a ratio of the difference between the mean of the two sample sets and the variation that exists within the sample sets. While the numerator value (the difference between the mean of the two sample sets) is straightforward to calculate, the denominator (the variation that exists within the sample sets) can become a bit complicated depending upon the type of data values involved. The denominator of the ratio is a measurement of the dispersion or variability. Higher values of the t-value, also called t-score, indicate that a large difference exists between the two sample sets. The smaller the t-value, the more similarity exists between the two sample sets.

  • A large t-score indicates that the groups are different.
  • A small t-score indicates that the groups are similar.

Degrees of freedom refers to the values in a study that has the freedom to vary and are essential for assessing the importance and the validity of the null hypothesis. Computation of these values usually depends upon the number of data records available in the sample set.

Correlated (or Paired) T-Test

The correlated t-test is performed when the samples typically consist of matched pairs of similar units, or when there are cases of repeated measures. For example, there may be instances of the same patients being tested repeatedly before and after receiving a particular treatment. In such cases, each patient is being used as a control sample against themselves.

This method also applies to cases where the samples are related in some manner or have matching characteristics, like a comparative analysis involving children, parents or siblings. Correlated or paired t-tests are of a dependent type, as these involve cases where the two sets of samples are related.

The formula for computing the t-value and degrees of freedom for a paired t-test is:

T = (Mean1-Mean2)

         s(diff)/√n

  • mean1 and mean2=The average values of each of the sample sets
  • s(diff)=The standard deviation of the differences of the paired data values
  • n=The sample size (the number of paired differences)
  • n−1=The degrees of freedom​

Anova (One-Way Anova, Two-Way Anova)

An ANOVA test is a way to find out if survey or experiment results are significant. In other words, they help you to figure out if you need to reject the null hypothesis or accept the alternate hypothesis.

Basically, you’re testing groups to see if there’s a difference between them. Examples of when you might want to test different groups:

  • A group of psychiatric patients are trying three different therapies: counseling, medication and biofeedback. You want to see if one therapy is better than the others.
  • A manufacturer has two different processes to make light bulbs. They want to know if one process is better than the other.
  • Students from different colleges take the same exam. You want to see if one college outperforms the other.

Types of Tests

There are two main types: one-way and two-way. Two-way tests can be with or without replication.

  • One-way ANOVA between groups: used when you want to test two groups to see if there’s a difference between them.
  • Two way ANOVA without replication: used when you have one group and you’re double-testing that same group. For example, you’re testing one set of individuals before and after they take a medication to see if it works or not.
  • Two way ANOVA with replication: Two groups, and the members of those groups are doing more than one thing. For example, two groups of patients from different hospitals trying two different therapies.

One Way ANOVA

A one way ANOVA is used to compare two means from two independent (unrelated) groups using the F-distribution. The null hypothesis for the test is that the two means are equal. Therefore, a significant result means that the two means are unequal.

Examples of when to use a one way ANOVA

Situation 1: You have a group of individuals randomly split into smaller groups and completing different tasks. For example, you might be studying the effects of tea on weight loss and form three groups: green tea, black tea, and no tea.

Situation 2: Similar to situation 1, but in this case the individuals are split into groups based on an attribute they possess. For example, you might be studying leg strength of people according to weight. You could split participants into weight categories (obese, overweight and normal) and measure their leg strength on a weight machine.

Limitations of the One Way ANOVA

A one way ANOVA will tell you that at least two groups were different from each other. But it won’t tell you which groups were different. If your test returns a significant f-statistic, you may need to run an ad hoc test (like the Least Significant Difference test) to tell you exactly which groups had a difference in means.

Two Way ANOVA

A Two Way ANOVA is an extension of the One Way ANOVA. With a One Way, you have one independent variable affecting a dependent variable. With a Two Way ANOVA, there are two independents. Use a two way ANOVA when you have one measurement variable (i.e. a quantitative variable) and two nominal variables. In other words, if your experiment has a quantitative outcome and you have two categorical explanatory variables, a two way ANOVA is appropriate.

For example, you might want to find out if there is an interaction between income and gender for anxiety level at job interviews. The anxiety level is the outcome, or the variable that can be measured. Gender and Income are the two categorical variables. These categorical variables are also the independent variables, which are called factors in a Two Way ANOVA.

MANOVA is just an ANOVA with several dependent variables. It’s similar to many other tests and experiments in that it’s purpose is to find out if the response variable (i.e. your dependent variable) is changed by manipulating the independent variable. The test helps to answer many research questions, including:

  • Do changes to the independent variables have statistically significant effects on dependent variables?
  • What are the interactions among dependent variables?
  • What are the interactions among independent variables?

Ministry of Corporate Affairs towards Building Ethical and Sustainable Organization

The Ministry of Corporate Affairs is an Indian government ministry. It is primarily concerned with administration of the Companies Act 2013, the Companies Act 1956, the Limited Liability Partnership Act, 2008, Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 & other allied Acts and rules & regulations framed there-under mainly for regulating the functioning of the corporate sector in accordance with law. It is responsible mainly for regulation of Indian enterprises in Industrial and Services sector. Ministry is mostly served by the civil servants of the ICLS cadre. These officers are being selected through Civil Services Examination conducted by Union Public Service Commission. Brilliant talent pool of the country serves MCA in different capacities. The highest post of DGCoA is being fixed at Apex Scale for the ICLS. The current Minister of State for Corporate Affairs is Nirmala Sitaraman.

An expert panel set up by the ministry of corporate affairs (MCA) has proposed a new regime for businesses to report how sustainable and responsible they are in addition to being compliant with the law.

The panel led by Gyaneshwar Kumar Singh, a joint secretary in the ministry, has recommended two reporting formats a comprehensive reporting regime and a “lite version”. The reporting requirement is to be rolled out in a gradual manner. Eventually, these filings by companies could be used to develop a business responsibility and sustainability index for firms, the panel has recommended.

The idea is to put pressure on firms to pay attention to how they contribute to the society, going beyond meeting the objectives of shareholders and complying with laws. This would also give investors an opportunity to assess how ethical a company is while making investment decisions.

It also signals the thinking in the Union government that the corporate sector can contribute in meeting the sustainable development goals that the country is committed to meeting, such as poverty reduction, gender equality and adoption of clean energy.

“As a long-term measure, the committee envisions that the information captured through BRSR (Business Responsibility and Sustainability Report) filings be used to develop a business responsibility sustainability index for companies,” said the ministry.

The ministry will work closely with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) in implementing the reporting regime, according to the government statement, which quoted the secretary in the ministry Rajesh Verma.

Indian companies aspiring to have a global foothold cannot ignore the emerging trend of corporate governance, which is being responsible businesses, the statement quoted Verma as saying.

Due to the trends of environmental, social and governance investing, the demand for non-financial reporting is growing and the proposed business responsibility framework will set the stage for sustainable investing, the statement said quoting Sebi executive director Amarjeet Singh.

The reporting regime will cover a set of guidelines on responsible business conduct brought out in 2019, which is an updated version of voluntary guidelines issued in 2009. Sebi has already mandated the top 1,000 listed entities by market capitalization to file business responsibility reports from an environmental, social and governance perspective. These enabled business to engage more meaningfully with stakeholders, going beyond regulatory and financial compliance, said the ministry.

The proposed reporting framework will cover both listed and unlisted enterprises.

Whistle Blowing Policy

When a former or the existing employee of the organization raise his voice against the unethical activities being carried out within the organization is called as whistle blowing and the person who raise his voice is called as a whistle blower.

The misconduct can be in the form of fraud, corruption, violation of company rules and policies, all done to impose a threat to public interest. The whistle blowing is done to safeguard the interest of the society and the general public for whom the organization is functioning.

The companies should motivate their employees to raise an alarm in case they find any violation of rules and procedures and do intimate about any possible harm to the interest of the organization and the society.

Types of Whistle Blowing

Internal Whistle Blowing:An employee informs about the misconduct to his officers or seniors holding positions in the same organization.

External Whistle Blowing: Here, the employee informs about the misconduct to any third person who is not a member of an organization, such as a lawyer or any other legal body.

Most often, the employees fear to raise a voice against the illegal activity being carried out in the organization because of following reasons:

  • Threat to life
  • Lost jobs and careers
  • Lost friendships
  • Resentment among workers
  • Breach of trust and loyalty

Thus, in order to provide protection to the whistle blowers, the Whistle Blower Protection Bill is passed in 2011 by Lok Sabha.

Now, the question comes in the mind that which offenses are considered valid for whistle blowing and for which the protection is offered by the law. Following are the acts for which the voice can be raised and are law protected:

  • Fraud
  • Health and safety in danger
  • Damage to the environment
  • Violation of company laws
  • Embezzlement of funds
  • Breach of law and justice

Social Responsibility

CSR is corporate social responsibility and that is the responsibility of organizations to act in ways that protect ad improve the welfare of multiple stakeholders. A key word in this definition is “stakeholder” where that is any group within or outside the organization that is directly affected by the organization and has a stake in it’s performance. Stakeholders can be customers, organization members, owners, other organizations that work with them, competitors, community members, financial investors, any anyone else who would be effected by the organization’s actions. This means a lot considering how the difference between a company that considers all stakeholders and a company that considers only shareholders can heavily influence a company to be more or less socially responsible.

Developing an Effective Whistle Blower Policy:

All business entities often struggle with an appropriate level of segregation of duties making a whistle blower policy a good mitigating tool. The Whistle blower policies effective implementations not only reduce the fraudulent activities but also send a signal to both internal and external agencies that organisations exercises good corporate governance.

The Whistle Blower Policy may be drafted and implemented by management but it should be submitted to Audit Committee and Board of Directors. The foundation of Whistle Blower Policy is a clear and specific definition of Whistle Blowing. The key aspects are:

  • Clear definition of individuals covered by the Policy
  • Non retaliation provisions
  • Confidentiality
  • Process
  • Communication

The Whistle Blower Policy should include the methods to encourage employees, vendors, customers and shareholders to report evidence of fraudulent activities. It should properly address the processes that the employees should follow in filing their claims. Specific Reporting Mechanisms within the process could include telephone, emails, hotlines, websites or suggestion boxes. The first steps of creating an environment where a whistleblower will report problems that exist is the crucial one, to be fully effective whistle blower policy must be consistently implemented, claims investigated and evaluated and proper enforcement taken when necessary. Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement keeps whistle blowing as non-mandatory item but it should be mandatory.

Economic Volatility, Global Competition, Growth risk appetite demands the governance professionals, the Company Secretaries to prioritise their role as whistle blowers.

Employees are usually the first to witness dangers and wrongdoings on Job. Although most employees remain silent, many chase to speak out and bear witness in corporate crimes that has not been addressed when flagged through normal company channels i.e Corporate Security, Audits, Inspections, Law enforcement combined.

Company Secretaries rank among the most productive, valued and committed members of their organisations. As they are the part of Top management and Board of Directors, they have a strong conscience; they are committed to formal goals of their organisation and have strong sense of professional responsibility.

Company Secretaries is also Corporate Governance Officer (CGO) and required to perform following roles:

  • To ensure the effective running of the activities of the Board and its Committees.
  • To ensure compliances of all listing rules, other Regulatory Codes and Acts.
  • Keep under review all legal and regulatory developments affecting the company operations and make sure that directors and management are properly informed of the same.
  • Manage relations with all stakeholders with regard to Corporate Governance, Corporate Social Responsibility, etc.
  • Work with Board of Directors, Management to ensure that all regulatory reporting is correct and does not lead to errors resulting in offences under Various Acts.
  • Act as the Conscience Keeper of the Company.
  • Act as the Primary point of contact for Board of Directors and source of guidance in order to assist their decision making process.
  • To assess, manage the compliances in the governance domain, governance processes, tracking of outcomes of governance processes and disseminate the information and documents for proper governance.

In ensuring implementation of proper corporate governance practices in the organisation, Company Secretary requires Governance Management and Reporting which includes:

  • Development of Board framework and to determine the level of Independence
  • Monitoring and reporting on the Independence of Audit Committee
  • Development and Maintenance of a Board Charter to ensure that Board decisions can be measured against it.
  • Acting as Board voice for providing shareholders feedback.
  • Participating in Strategic Planning process, Risk Management process, Internal Control process, MIS, Corporate Communications, Succession Planning, Board performance evaluation process.

 In light of above, Company Secretary acts in the capacity that ensures high level corporate administration in accordance with best governance practices which results to well run, governed and sustainable business for the benefit of its stakeholders at large.

Company Secretary can be useful aid to implement whistle blowing as an internal regulator for ensuring good corporate governance in spirits. As he is a part of Board decisions process and recipient of all important information flowing in the organisation, he can easily smell the rat. He can suspect the improper activities/unethical practices adopted by organizations or some of its members.

India:

India had fairly weak whistleblower protection laws. The companies Act, 1956 though provided for provision through which mismanagement can be ventilate does not expressly provide for the protection of whistleblower as such. However, after coming into force of the Companies Act, 2014 there is a provision to protect the Whistle Blower. Every listed company or any company that is prescribed shall establish a Vigil mechanism specifically for the directors and employees to report genuine concerns. It also seeks to provide adequate protection to the employees from victimization as a result of disclosure made using the mechanism. It affords direct access to the chairperson of the Audit Committee in appropriate or exceptional cases. The establishment of a vigil mechanism has to be disclosed on the company’s website.

India lacks a specific whistleblowers protection law and does not cover all whistleblowers. The Indian Parliament has passed the Whistle Blowers Protection Act, 2011, however the Act has not come into force. The Act was approved by the Cabinet of India and passed by the Lok Sabha on 27 December 2011. The Bill was passed by Rajya Sabha on 21 February 2014 and received the President’s assent on 9 May 2014 yet the Act has not come into force till now. The Act provides for mechanism to scrutinize alleged fraud and abuse of power by public servants. It also seeks to protect one who would bring to light wrongdoing in government bodies, projects and offices. The wrongdoing might take the form of fraud, corruption or mismanagement. The Act will also have provision of penalty in case of false or frivolous complaints.

The Central Vigilance Commission, the sole authority in protecting future whistleblowers. The Act expanded the definition of whistleblower.[26]It classifies anyone making “public interest disclosure” a whistleblower. It is aftermath of murder of environmentalist activist Amit Jethava who was campaigning against illegal mining in the Gujarat’s Gir lion reserve to protect the lions.

The Central government came up with a legislative proposal to prevent such tragic killings. The Act empowers the Central Vigilance Commission to issue binding orders to protect whistleblowers from physical attack and/or victimization. CVC is authorized to issue interim orders to stop corrupt practice pointed out by the whistleblower. But these limited powers are likely to prove insufficient if CVC remains no more than an advisory body with regard to sensitive matters which may or may not be a corruption case that is to be registered against a public servant. It was an immense leap forward from where the legal framework stood. Only a public servant could be a whistleblower under the 2004 Cabinet resolution, but the expanded definition is the only real positive change in the official attitude towards whistle-blowing. The Act is to some extent on the lines of the Sabanes Oxley Act in United States which enacted as the repercussion of the Enron and WorldCom scandals, making it compulsory for audit committees of boards to establish procedures to receive anonymous complaints and reports from whistleblowers. Senior management is forbidden from discriminating against whistleblowers. Any retaliation against a whistleblower is a criminal offence, which can be punished with up to ten years in prison. But SEBI initially made  whistle blowing mandatory clause 49 of the listing agreement but later made it non- mandatory when SEBI accepted the argument made by the corporate sector that the regulation would lead to too many frivolous complaints.

Various companies are establishing Whistle Blower Policy in the company.  Maruti Suzuki India Ltd in its preface of their Whistle blowing policy mentions that Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement provides, a non-binding requirement, to establish a mechanism called “whistle blower policy” for all listed companies for the employees to report unethical behavior actual or suspected fraud or violation of the company’s code of conduct or ethics policy to the management of the company.

HCL adopted a whistle blower policy to afford appropriate avenues to the employees, contractors, clients, vendors, internal or external auditors, law enforcement / regulatory agencies or other third parties to bring to the consideration of the management any issue which is identified to be in infringement or in conflict with the essential business principles of the company. The employees are encouraged to raise any of their concerns by way of whistle blowing. All cases registered under the whistle blower policy of the company are reported directly to the CEO.

Corporate Frauds

Corporate fraud consists of illegal or unethical and deceptive actions committed either by a company or an individual acting in their capacity as an employee of the company. Corporate fraud schemes are often extremely complicated and, therefore, difficult to identify. It often takes an office full of forensic accountants months to unravel a corporate fraud scheme in its entirety.

Corporate fraud consists of activities undertaken by an individual or company that are done in a dishonest or illegal manner, and are designed to give an advantage to the perpetrating individual or company. Corporate fraud schemes go beyond the scope of an employee’s stated position, and are marked by their complexity and economic impact on the business, other employees and outside parties.

Corporate fraud refers to illegal activities undertaken by an individual or company that are done in a dishonest or unethical manner. Often, this kind of business fraud is designed to give an advantage to the perpetrating individual or company. Corporate fraud schemes go beyond the scope of an employee’s stated position and are marked by their complexity and economic impact on the business, other employees, and outside parties.

Types of Fraud:

There are many types of corporate fraud, including the following common frauds:

  1. Theft of cash, physical assets or confidential information
  2. Misuse of accounts
  3. Procurement fraud
  4. Payroll fraud
  5. Financial accounting mis-statements
  6. Inappropriate journal vouchers
  7. Suspense accounting fraud
  8. Fraudulent expense claims
  9. False employment credentials
  10. Bribery and corruption.

Reasons:

  1. The desire or perceived need to attract or retain investors

Corporate fraud commonly occurs for the same reason as any other fraud scheme – greed. However, amid the highly competitive global business environment of the modern world, it may also occur for other reasons. Many corporate fraud schemes consist of fraudulent accounting schemes used to make a company appear more profitable than it actually is. The impetus behind such schemes is the desire or perceived need to attract or retain investors.

  1. Problems or defects with a company’s products

Another cause of corporate fraud may be problems or defects with a company’s products, which it tries to hide. Several recent corporate fraud cases have occurred with pharmaceutical companies that attempted to hide certain side effects or dangers associated with using certain medicines they manufactured and sold.

Government regulatory authorities, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States, use laws and regulations to try to prevent, detect, and punish corporate fraud. However, fraud may go undetected for many years before it becomes apparent to authorities, especially if the guilty company is a private company that is not required to publicly disclose its financial records.

Prevention:

One of the best ways to develop policies and procedures that are effective in prevention corporate fraud is with the assistance of an experienced anti-fraud professional who has investigated hundreds of frauds to develop the most relevant and most effective anti-fraud controls including:

  1. Establish clear and easy to understand standards from the top down. Have an employee manual that clearly outlines these standards and keeps the rules from becoming arbitrary.
  2. Always check references and perform background checks that include employment, credit, licensing and criminal history for all new hires.
  3. Secure physical assets, access to data, and money at all levels including monitoring and using pre-numbered checks, keep checks locked up, have a “voided check” procedure and never sign blank checks. Review all disbursements regularly.
  4. Segregation of duties of employees. Divide activities so one employee doesn’t have too much control over an area or duty. Separate important accounting and account payable functions. Small-business owners and managers should review every payroll check personally. The person who has custody of the checks should never have check signing authority. The person opening the mail should not record the receivables and reconcile the accounts.
  5. Proper authorization of transactions, ensuring that employees aren’t exceeding their authority.
  6. Independent checks on performance, using audits, surprise check-ups, inventory counts, or other procedures to verify compliance with policies and procedures, as well as accuracy.
  7. Instill an anonymous reporting mechanism, such as an employee fraud hotline.
  8. Small-business owners should control who first receives the bank statements and other sensitive documents. Consider a separate post office box for the purpose of receiving bank statements, customer receipts or any other sensitive documents.
  9. All account reconciliations and general ledger balances should have an independent review by a person outside the responsibility area such as an outside accountant. This allows for reviews, better ensuring nothing is amiss and providing a deterrent for fraudulent activities.
  10. Conduct annual audits to motivate all bookkeeping- related staff to keep things honest because they can never be sure what questions an auditor is going to ask or what documents an auditor may request to review.
  11. While no company, even with the strongest internal controls, is completely protected from fraud, strengthening internal control policies, processes and procedures will go a long way towards making your company a less attractive target to both internal and external criminals.

Corporate Scandals:

One of the most reputed company revealed in September that it had installed software on millions of cars in order to trick the Environmental Protection Agency’s emissions testers into thinking that the cars were more environmentally friendly than they were, investors understandably deserted the company.

Company lost roughly $20 billion in market capitalization, as investors worried about the cost of compensating customers for selling those cars that weren’t compliant with environmental regulations.

The company not only has to deal with compensating their customers, but it will also need to contend with potential fines from regulators as well as a reputational hit that could severely affect its market share.

Other Example of Corporate Scandal is one of the biggest Ponzi schemes in West Bengal that enjoyed political patronage and lured millions of investors to deposit money with the promise of abnormally high returns including fancy holidays etc. The chit fund eventually collapsed leading to defaults after a crackdown by SEBI and the Reserve Bank of India. The default, apart from leaving small depositors high and dry, also led to 10 media outlets owned by company being forced to wind up, leaving 1000 journalists jobless.

And an online business survey firm that collected thousands of cores of rupees from over 24 lakh investors, asking them to fill surveys and guaranteeing to quadruple their income in one year, company was accused of running a Ponzi scheme. A criminal case was registered against the company in 2011, some accounts frozen and its business shutdown.

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