Factors Affecting Valuation of Shares

Valuation of Shares refers to the process of determining the fair value of a company’s shares based on financial performance, assets, earnings, and market conditions. It helps investors, businesses, and regulators assess investment worth, mergers, acquisitions, and legal compliance. Various methods like Net Asset Value, Dividend Discount Model, and Earnings Capitalization are used. Share valuation is crucial for decision-making, taxation, and financial reporting, ensuring transparency and fair trading in the stock market.

Factors Affecting Valuation of Shares:

  • Earnings and Profitability

The profitability of a company is a crucial factor in share valuation. Investors assess a company’s earnings per share (EPS), net profit margins, and revenue growth to determine its financial health. A company with consistent and increasing profits is valued higher due to its strong earning potential. Valuation methods like the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio help compare earnings with market prices. If a company generates high profits, its shares are more attractive to investors, leading to higher valuations.

  • Net Assets and Book Value

The net assets of a company, including tangible and intangible assets, impact share valuation. The Book Value Per Share (BVPS) is calculated by dividing total net assets by the number of outstanding shares. If a company holds valuable assets like land, machinery, or intellectual property, its share value increases. Investors consider asset quality, depreciation, and liabilities when assessing a company’s worth. Strong asset backing assures shareholders of stability and potential financial security in the long run.

  • Dividend Policy

A company’s dividend policy influences investor interest and share valuation. Regular dividend payments indicate financial stability and profitability. Investors seeking steady income prefer companies with consistent dividend payouts, increasing demand for their shares. High dividend yield stocks are often valued higher due to investor confidence. Conversely, companies that reinvest profits for growth may have lower dividends but attract growth-oriented investors, impacting share valuation differently based on investor preferences and future profit expectations.

  • Market Conditions and Economic Factors

Economic conditions such as inflation, interest rates, and GDP growth impact share valuation. A booming economy boosts investor confidence, leading to higher share prices, while economic slowdowns reduce valuation due to uncertainty. Stock market trends, industry performance, and government policies also affect valuation. For example, in a bullish market, investor demand drives up share prices, whereas bearish market conditions lead to lower valuations as investors become risk-averse.

  • Industry and Sector Performance

The overall performance of the industry in which a company operates significantly influences its share valuation. Companies in high-growth sectors like technology and pharmaceuticals tend to have higher valuations due to rapid innovation and demand. In contrast, industries facing downturns, such as traditional manufacturing, may have lower valuations. Competitive advantage, regulatory changes, and market trends determine the growth potential of an industry, affecting investor perception and share prices accordingly.

  • Interest Rates and Inflation

Interest rates directly affect share valuation, as they influence the cost of borrowing for companies and investment returns for shareholders. When interest rates are low, companies can borrow at cheaper rates, increasing profitability and share value. Conversely, high interest rates raise borrowing costs, reducing profits and valuation. Inflation also impacts valuation, as high inflation erodes purchasing power and increases costs for businesses, reducing profit margins and making stocks less attractive to investors.

  • Management Efficiency and Corporate Governance

The quality of a company’s management and governance structure plays a vital role in share valuation. Strong leadership, ethical business practices, and efficient decision-making enhance investor confidence, leading to higher share prices. Companies with transparent financial reporting and good corporate governance attract investors by reducing risks of fraud or mismanagement. On the other hand, poor management and governance issues can lead to financial instability, negatively affecting share valuation and investor trust.

  • Supply and Demand for Shares

The basic economic principle of supply and demand influences share valuation. If more investors are interested in buying a company’s shares, the price increases due to higher demand. Conversely, if more shareholders sell their shares, the price declines. Factors like company performance, industry trends, and investor sentiment affect share demand. Additionally, stock buybacks reduce supply, increasing share prices, while issuing new shares can dilute existing shareholders’ value and lower prices.

  • Government Regulations and Taxation

Regulatory policies and taxation laws impact share valuation by affecting company profits and investor returns. Favorable policies, such as tax benefits, subsidies, or deregulation, enhance business growth and valuation. Conversely, high corporate taxes, strict compliance rules, or unfavorable legal conditions reduce profits and discourage investments, lowering share prices. Government intervention in pricing, foreign investments, and environmental regulations also influence share valuation, making compliance a critical factor for investors.

  • Liquidity and Marketability of Shares

The ease with which shares can be bought or sold in the market affects their valuation. Highly liquid stocks, which have a high trading volume, tend to be valued higher as they provide flexibility for investors. Companies listed on major stock exchanges have better marketability, increasing investor confidence. On the other hand, shares of smaller, unlisted, or closely held companies have lower liquidity, making them less attractive and reducing their market value.

Intrinsic Value Method of Shares, Assumptions, Advantages and Challenges

Intrinsic Value Method of Shares is a valuation approach that determines the actual worth of a share based on a company’s net assets. It is calculated by dividing the net asset value (total assets minus liabilities and preference share capital) by the total number of equity shares. This method helps investors understand a company’s fundamental value, independent of market fluctuations. It is useful for mergers, acquisitions, and liquidation analysis. However, it does not consider future earnings potential, making it more suitable for asset-rich companies rather than growth-oriented businesses.

Assumptions of Intrinsic Value Method of Shares:

  • Net Assets Determine Share Value

The Intrinsic Value Method assumes that the fair value of shares is primarily determined by the company’s net assets. It considers total assets minus liabilities and preference share capital to arrive at the intrinsic worth. This assumption is useful for asset-heavy companies but may not accurately reflect the value of firms that rely on future earnings, goodwill, or intangible assets. Since it focuses on historical data, it may not capture potential growth opportunities or market conditions.

  • Market Fluctuations Do Not Affect Value

Another key assumption is that the intrinsic value remains independent of stock market fluctuations. Unlike market-based methods, it does not consider the impact of investor sentiment, demand-supply dynamics, or speculative activities. This makes the method suitable for long-term investors focusing on a company’s fundamentals rather than short-term market trends. However, this assumption limits its application in volatile industries where market perception significantly affects stock prices.

  • Fixed Asset Valuation is Accurate

The method assumes that the valuation of a company’s fixed assets is accurate and up-to-date. It relies on financial statements and balance sheets to determine the net asset value. If assets are overvalued or undervalued, the calculated intrinsic value may be misleading. Depreciation, inflation, or outdated book values can also impact the accuracy of the valuation, leading to incorrect investment decisions.

  • Liabilities are Properly Accounted for

It is assumed that all liabilities, including short-term and long-term obligations, are properly accounted for in financial statements. The method considers the residual value after deducting liabilities from assets to determine the worth of equity shares. Any hidden liabilities, contingent liabilities, or misrepresentations in financial reports can distort the valuation. Investors must ensure financial transparency and reliability before relying on this method.

  • Business Continuity is Assumed

The Intrinsic Value Method assumes that the business will continue operating without any disruptions. It does not account for liquidation scenarios or business failures, which may impact the company’s asset valuation. If a company faces insolvency, its actual realizable value may be much lower than the intrinsic value calculated using this method. Therefore, this assumption is valid only for stable and financially sound companies.

Thus the Value of net asset is:

Net Assets (Intrinsic Value of Asset) = Total of realisable value of assets – Total of external liabilities

Total Value of Equity Shares = Net Assets – Preference share capital

Value of One Equity Share = Net Assets – Preference share capital/Number of Equity shares

Advantages of Intrinsic Value Method:

  • Accurate Reflection of Net Assets

The Intrinsic Value Method accurately reflects a company’s net worth by considering its total assets and deducting liabilities. This approach is particularly useful for businesses with substantial tangible assets, such as manufacturing and real estate firms. It provides investors with a clear picture of the company’s financial stability and ensures that the valuation is based on actual book values rather than speculative market trends. This accuracy makes it a preferred method for mergers, acquisitions, and liquidation analysis.

  • Objective and Reliable Valuation

Since this method relies on financial statements and accounting records, it is objective and free from market sentiment or speculation. Unlike market-based valuation methods, which fluctuate due to investor perceptions and external factors, the intrinsic value remains stable and grounded in the company’s actual financial position. This reliability makes it a trusted method for conservative investors who prefer factual data over speculative predictions when making investment decisions.

  • Useful for Asset-Rich Companies

The Intrinsic Value Method is particularly beneficial for companies with significant tangible assets, such as land, buildings, machinery, and cash reserves. It helps investors assess the true worth of asset-intensive businesses, making it easier to determine fair pricing in mergers and acquisitions. This method ensures that shareholders receive an appropriate valuation based on actual resources, avoiding inflated or deflated market prices.

  • Helpful in Liquidation Analysis

This method plays a crucial role in liquidation scenarios, where companies need to assess the value of their assets to determine how much shareholders will receive after settling liabilities. By providing a clear picture of the company’s net assets, it helps creditors and investors make informed decisions about the company’s financial standing. This is particularly useful in bankruptcy proceedings, where fair distribution of assets is essential.

  • Less Affected by Market Volatility

Intrinsic value remains relatively stable. It does not depend on stock market trends or speculative pricing, making it a more reliable approach for long-term investors. This stability ensures that businesses are not undervalued or overvalued due to temporary market movements, providing a realistic assessment of share value.

  • Provides a Conservative Estimate

The Intrinsic Value Method offers a conservative valuation approach, making it suitable for risk-averse investors and financial institutions. Since it is based on net assets and excludes uncertain future earnings, it provides a safe estimate of a company’s worth. This conservative approach is particularly useful for banks, lenders, and regulatory bodies that require a cautious valuation before granting loans or approving financial transactions.

Challenges of Intrinsic Value Method:

  • Ignores Future Earnings Potential

One major limitation of the Intrinsic Value Method is that it does not consider the company’s future earnings potential. A company with strong growth prospects may have a much higher market value than what is reflected by its intrinsic value. This makes the method less effective for evaluating technology firms, startups, or companies in high-growth industries, where earnings potential is a key factor in valuation.

  • Depreciation and Inflation Impact

The valuation depends on the book value of assets, which may not reflect their current market price due to depreciation or inflation. Fixed assets like land and machinery might be undervalued due to historical cost accounting, while inflation can reduce the purchasing power of recorded assets. As a result, the intrinsic value may not represent the true worth of a company’s resources, leading to potential miscalculations in financial decision-making.

  • Not Suitable for Service-Based Companies

Companies in the service sector, such as consulting, IT, and finance, rely heavily on intangible assets like brand value, intellectual property, and human capital. Since the Intrinsic Value Method primarily focuses on tangible assets, it fails to capture the full value of such businesses. This makes it an ineffective valuation method for companies where intangible assets play a significant role in revenue generation.

  • Difficulty in Asset Valuation

The accuracy of the intrinsic value depends on the correct valuation of a company’s assets. However, determining the fair market value of certain assets, such as patents, goodwill, and specialized equipment, can be complex. If asset values are overstated or understated, the intrinsic value may be misleading, affecting investment decisions and financial planning. This challenge requires expert assessment and periodic revaluation of assets.

  • Does Not Reflect Market Conditions

The intrinsic value does not take into account the demand and supply of shares, industry trends, or economic conditions. Investors may find a company’s shares undervalued based on intrinsic value, but if market conditions are unfavorable, share prices may remain low. This makes the method less effective for traders and short-term investors who rely on market trends to make buying and selling decisions.

  • Limited Use in Mergers and Acquisitions

While the Intrinsic Value Method is useful for assessing net assets, it may not be the best approach for mergers and acquisitions involving high-growth companies. Acquiring firms often consider synergies, market expansion, and future earnings potential, which are not captured in intrinsic valuation. This limitation makes it necessary to use other valuation methods, such as Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) or Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, to get a complete picture of a company’s worth.

Yield Method Valuation of Shares

The Yield Method of Share Valuation determines a share’s worth based on the expected return (yield) it generates for investors. It compares a company’s dividend-paying capacity or earnings with the required rate of return in the market. The formula used is:

Value per Share = [Expected Dividend or Earnings per Share / Normal Rate of Return] × 100

This method is ideal for investors who prioritize income generation from dividends or profits. It is widely used in stock market analysis, mergers, and acquisitions, ensuring fair pricing based on financial performance.

Basis of Yield-Basis Method of Shares:

The Yield Method of share valuation is based on the principle that the value of a share depends on its ability to generate returns for investors. The key bases of this method include:

  1. Earnings Yield Basis:

The value of a share is determined by the company’s earnings per share (EPS) in comparison to the normal market return.

Value per Share = [Earnings Per Share / Normal Rate of Return] × 100

2. Dividend Yield Basis:

This method considers the dividends received as the key factor, valuing shares based on dividend per share and market yield.

Value per Share = [Dividend Per Share / Normal Dividend Rate] × 100

3. Risk and Return Trade-off:

Investors assess business risks, industry trends, and market fluctuations while valuing shares under this method.

4. Market Expectations:

The valuation depends on investors’ confidence in the company’s growth, stability, and profitability trends over time.

Valuation of Rights Issue of Share

Rghts issue allows existing shareholders to maintain their proportionate ownership in a company by purchasing additional shares at a discounted price before they are offered to the public. This method ensures that shareholders are not diluted due to the issuance of new shares. It is an effective way for companies to raise funds without incurring debt. Shareholders can either exercise their rights, sell them in the market, or let them lapse if they do not wish to participate in the offering.

Need for Valuation of Rights Issue:

  • It helps in determining the fair price of the rights and whether it is beneficial for shareholders to subscribe.

  • Ensures transparency and fairness in the issuance process.

  • Helps investors decide whether to subscribe, sell, or ignore the rights.

  • Assists companies in setting the right issue price to attract sufficient subscription.

  • Prevents market distortions by ensuring that the issue price is competitive.

Formula for Valuation of Rights Issue:

The theoretical value of rights is calculated using the following formula:

Theoretical Ex-Rights Price (TERP) = [(Old Shares × Market Price) + (New Shares × Issue Price)]Total Shares After Issue

Value of Right per Share = Market Price Before Rights Issue − TERP

Where:

  • Market Price = The prevailing market price of the share before the rights issue.

  • Issue Price = The price at which new shares are issued.

  • Old Shares = Number of shares already held.

  • New Shares = Number of shares issued under the rights offer.

Methods of Valuation of Rights Issue:

1. Theoretical Ex-Rights Price (TERP) Method

The Theoretical Ex-Rights Price (TERP) method calculates the adjusted market price of a share after the rights issue. It assumes that the total value of shares remains unchanged, but the price per share decreases due to the increased number of shares. The formula used is:

TERP = [(Old Shares × Market Price) + (New Shares × Issue Price)] / Total Shares After Issue

This method provides a theoretical benchmark for post-rights share price, allowing investors to compare whether the market price aligns with expectations. It helps in understanding the potential impact of the rights issue on the company’s valuation.

2. Market Price Adjustment Method

This method assumes that the market price of shares adjusts based on the new supply of shares from the rights issue. It is based on the principle that the market will determine the fair price of shares post-issue, depending on demand and investor sentiment. The value of the right is calculated as:

Value of Right = Market Price Before Rights Issue − TERP

This method helps investors determine whether exercising their rights is beneficial compared to purchasing shares in the open market. It is useful when market fluctuations impact the perceived value of the rights issue.

3. Net Present Value (NPV) Method

Net Present Value (NPV) method values the rights issue by estimating the present value of future cash flows generated from the newly issued shares. It considers expected dividends, potential capital appreciation, and the time value of money. The formula used is:

NPV = ∑ [Expected Cash Flows / (1+r)^t]

where r is the discount rate, and t is the time period. This method is useful for long-term investors who want to assess whether the rights issue will generate sufficient returns over time. It provides a comprehensive view of the financial benefits of subscribing to the rights issue.

4. Book Value Method

Book Value Method calculates the value of rights based on the company’s book value (net assets) before and after the rights issue. It considers the net worth per share and determines how the issue affects the company’s financial position. The value of the right is calculated as:

Book Value Per Share = Total Equity / Number of Shares Outstanding

This method is suitable for conservative investors who focus on the intrinsic value of shares rather than market speculation. It provides an objective way to assess whether the rights issue is fairly priced.

5. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Adjustment Method

EPS Adjustment Method evaluates how the rights issue affects the company’s earnings per share (EPS). Since issuing new shares increases the total number of shares, EPS may decline unless the additional capital leads to higher profits. The adjusted EPS is calculated as:

Adjusted EPS = Net Profit / Total Shares After Issue

Investors use this method to determine whether the rights issue enhances or dilutes earnings potential. If the company utilizes the raised capital effectively, EPS may remain stable or increase, making the rights issue attractive.

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