index Numbers

The value of money does not remain constant over time. It rises or falls and is inversely related to the changes in the price level. A rise in the price level means a fall in the value of money and a fall in the price level means a rise in the value of money. Thus, changes in the value of money are reflected by the changes in the general level of prices over a period of time. Changes in the general level of prices can be measured by a statistical device known as ‘index number.’

Index number is a technique of measuring changes in a variable or group of variables with respect to time, geographical location or other characteristics. There can be various types of index numbers, but, in the present context, we are concerned with price index numbers, which measures changes in the general price level (or in the value of money) over a period of time.

Price index number indicates the average of changes in the prices of representative commodities at one time in comparison with that at some other time taken as the base period. According to L.V. Lester, “An index number of prices is a figure showing the height of average prices at one time relative to their height at some other time which is taken as the base period.”

Features of Index Numbers:

The following are the main features of index numbers:

(i) Index numbers are a special type of average. Whereas mean, median and mode measure the absolute changes and are used to compare only those series which are expressed in the same units, the technique of index numbers is used to measure the relative changes in the level of a phenomenon where the measurement of absolute change is not possible and the series are expressed in different types of items.

(ii) Index numbers are meant to study the changes in the effects of such factors which cannot be measured directly. For example, the general price level is an imaginary concept and is not capable of direct measurement. But, through the technique of index numbers, it is possible to have an idea of relative changes in the general level of prices by measuring relative changes in the price level of different commodities.

(iii) The technique of index numbers measures changes in one variable or group of related variables. For example, one variable can be the price of wheat, and group of variables can be the price of sugar, the price of milk and the price of rice.

(iv) The technique of index numbers is used to compare the levels of a phenomenon on a certain date with its level on some previous date (e.g., the price level in 1980 as compared to that in 1960 taken as the base year) or the levels of a phenomenon at different places on the same date (e.g., the price level in India in 1980 in comparison with that in other countries in 1980).

Steps or Problems in the Construction of Price Index Numbers:

The construction of the price index numbers involves the following steps or problems:

1. Selection of Base Year:

The first step or the problem in preparing the index numbers is the selection of the base year. The base year is defined as that year with reference to which the price changes in other years are compared and expressed as percentages. The base year should be a normal year.

In other words, it should be free from abnormal conditions like wars, famines, floods, political instability, etc. Base year can be selected in two ways- (a) through fixed base method in which the base year remains fixed; and (b) through chain base method in which the base year goes on changing, e.g., for 1980 the base year will be 1979, for 1979 it will be 1978, and so on.

2. Selection of Commodities:

The second problem in the construction of index numbers is the selection of the commodities. Since all commodities cannot be included, only representative commodities should be selected keeping in view the purpose and type of the index number.

In selecting items, the following points are to be kept in mind:

(a) The items should be representative of the tastes, habits and customs of the people.

(b) Items should be recognizable,

(c) Items should be stable in quality over two different periods and places.

(d) The economic and social importance of various items should be considered

(e) The items should be fairly large in number.

(f) All those varieties of a commodity which are in common use and are stable in character should be included.

3. Collection of Prices:

After selecting the commodities, the next problem is regarding the collection of their prices:

(a) From where the prices to be collected;

(b) Whether to choose wholesale prices or retail prices;

(c) Whether to include taxes in the prices or not etc.

While collecting prices, the following points are to be noted:

(a) Prices are to be collected from those places where a particular commodity is traded in large quantities.

(b) Published information regarding the prices should also be utilised,

(c) In selecting individuals and institutions who would supply price quotations, care should be taken that they are not biased.

(d) Selection of wholesale or retail prices depends upon the type of index number to be prepared. Wholesale prices are used in the construction of general price index and retail prices are used in the construction of cost-of-living index number.

(e) Prices collected from various places should be averaged.

4. Selection of Average:

Since the index numbers are, a specialised average, the fourth problem is to choose a suitable average. Theoretically, geometric mean is the best for this purpose. But, in practice, arithmetic mean is used because it is easier to follow.

5. Selection of Weights:

Generally, all the commodities included in the construction’ of index numbers are not of equal importance. Therefore, if the index numbers are to be representative, proper weights should be assigned to the commodities according to their relative importance.

For example, the prices of books will be given more weightage while preparing the cost-of-living index for teachers than while preparing the cost-of-living index for the workers. Weights should be unbiased and be rationally and not arbitrarily selected.

6. Purpose of Index Numbers:

The most important consideration in the construction of the index numbers is the objective of the index numbers. All other problems or steps are to be viewed in the light of the purpose for which a particular index number is to be prepared. Since, different index numbers are prepared with specific purposes and no single index number is ‘all purpose’ index number, it is important to be clear about the purpose of the index number before its construction.